FAIL

AT&T announced Monday it has officially dropped its bid for Deutsche Telekom’s T-Mobile USA.

The company blamed regulator opposition for the failure of the merger, underestimating the Obama Administration’s tolerance for super-sized acquisition deals that could reduce competition and raise prices for consumers.

The real challenge for AT&T initially came not from the Federal Communications Commission, but from the U.S. Department of Justice which filed suit against the merger in August. FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski soon followed with statements that suggested the merger would have a difficult time at the Commission as well, and after a scathing report from FCC staffers was made public, Wall Street began to reduce the chances of the merger getting through to the single digits.

Had AT&T successfully merged with fourth-place T-Mobile, it would have easily become the nation’s largest and most powerful wireless provider, advancing beyond current leader Verizon Wireless.

The failure for AT&T will cost the company at least $4 billion in cash and spectrum it earlier agreed to give T-Mobile if the merger failed to complete.  Industry analysts say the real winner this year will easily be Verizon Wireless, which successfully accomplished its own spectrum acquisition by quietly buying unused spectrum from some of the nation’s largest cable companies.  With that spectrum now under Verizon’s control, AT&T has been reduced to signing new roaming agreements with an independent T-Mobile to share their GSM technology networks.  That will do little to alleviate AT&T’s dropped call problem in large cities, analysts say, because most roaming agreements specify sharing network resources only in areas where one carrier does not provide service.

Where U.S. Cell Phone Companies Stand Today

AT&T: AT&T still retains a considerable amount of unused wireless spectrum, but some of it is located on frequency bands that provide a lower quality of service indoors.  AT&T may have a difficult time finding new spectrum, because other carriers have signed partnership deals with most of the companies still holding unused frequencies. One of the largest holders of unused, warehoused spectrum is DISH Networks, and they’ve indicated no interest in selling.  DISH may partner with T-Mobile now that AT&T has exited.  That leaves AT&T with lobbying the government to speed up new spectrum auctions and working internally to expand their cell tower network to divide the traffic load.  It’s an expensive proposition, and several Wall Street analysts are advising their clients to dump AT&T stock.  Kevin Smithen, a Macquarie Capital USA Inc. analyst who downgraded AT&T to “sell” from “hold” last week advised AT&T was running out of options.

Verizon Wireless: Big Red remains in excellent shape to maintain its current market leadership position, particularly as it uses recently-acquired spectrum to bolster its 4G LTE network.  A UBS analyst was more direct: It will have 56 percent more 4G spectrum than AT&T in the top 10 markets and 46 percent more in the top 100, giving it a “meaningful competitive advantage.” Verizon has also cut a deal with cable operators that could reduce competitive pressure on Verizon’s landline/FiOS network from cable companies.  That fringe benefit comes courtesy of an agreement to market each others’ products to consumers.

Sprint: In addition to building its own 4G network, the company still has an agreement with Clearwire that allows Sprint to purchase the former company’s spectrum if it ever becomes available for sale.  With T-Mobile still obviously up for sale, Sprint could attempt its own merger, although it may be wary of stirring the same regulatory pot that got AT&T into trouble.  That leaves T-Mobile’s next buyer likely to be a regional cell phone company, a foreign firm entering the U.S. market, or an existing telecommunications company that decides a wireless division would be of benefit.

Extended Video Coverage

News of AT&T/T-Mobile Merger Failure Breaks

[flv width=”480″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/AP T-Mobile Merger Dead 12-19-11.mp4[/flv]

This report from the Associated Press informs consumers of the basics — the merger is no-go, leaving AT&T and T-Mobile as competitors, at least for now.  (1 minute)

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/Bloomberg ATT Pulls T-Mobile Bid After Regulator Opposition 12-19-11.mp4[/flv]

AT&T Inc. abandoned a $39 billion takeover bid for T-Mobile USA after underestimating opposition from regulators, thwarting its ambitions to become the biggest U.S. wireless carrier. AT&T will take a pretax charge of $4 billion to reflect cash payments and other considerations due to T-Mobile-owner Deutsche Telekom AG, the Dallas-based company said in a statement today. Peter Cook, Lisa Murphy, Adam Johnson and Sheila Dharmarajan report on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (7 minutes)

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/Bloomberg Blair Says ATT’s T-Mobile Bid Was All About Spectrum 12-19-11.mp4[/flv]

Brian Blair, an analyst at Wedge Partners Corp., talks about AT&T Inc.’s decision to abandon a $39 billion takeover bid for T-Mobile USA and Apple Inc.’s victory in a final patent-infringement ruling that bans some HTC Corp. smartphones from the U.S. Blair speaks with Emily Chang on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.”  (11 minutes)

[flv]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/CNBC Baird on ATT T-Mobile Failure 12-20-11.mp4[/flv]

Apologists for AT&T on CNBC wring their hands over how wireless networks will get built out into rural areas now that the T-Mobile deal is dead. Will Power, R.W. Baird & Co, weighs in with a host who clearly cheerleads AT&T’s world-view.  (5 minutes)

[flv]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/CNBC ATT Drops Bid for T-Mobile 12-20-11.mp4[/flv]

AT&T drops its $39 billion bid for T-Mobile USA, with Todd Rethemeier, Hudson Square Research.  AT&T’s talking points don’t fly with Rethemeier.  (4 minutes)

T-Mobile’s CEO Speaks About the Merger Failure

[flv]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/CNBC Deutsche Telekom CEO on Failed T-Mobile Merger 12-20-11.mp4[/flv]

Rene Obermann, Deutsche Telekom CEO, explains why the merger between AT&T and T-Mobile USA should have gone through. “This transaction would have solved a number of industry issues,” he says.  Obermann is in friendly territory on CNBC.  (8 minutes)

The Impact on Sprint

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/Bloomberg Horan Sees T-Mobile Eventually Merging With Sprint 12-19-11.mp4[/flv]

Tim Horan, an analyst with Oppenheimer & Co., talks about AT&T Inc.’s decision to abandon a $39 billion takeover bid for T-Mobile USA, thwarting its ambitions to become the biggest U.S. wireless carrier. Horan speaks with Adam Johnson and Lisa Murphy on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart.” (3 minutes)

[flv width=”640″ height=”500″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/Bloomberg Gamcos Haverty Says Sprint an Endangered Species 12-19-11.flv[/flv]

Larry Haverty, portfolio manager at Gamco Investors Inc., talks about AT&T Inc.’s decision to abandon a $39 billion takeover bid for T-Mobile USA, and the outlook for Sprint Nextel Corp. and the wireless industry. Haverty speaks with Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.” (6 minutes)

 Will DISH Network Be AT&T’s Next Acquisition Target?

[flv]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/CNBC Trading on ATT’s Failed T-Mobile Bid 12-20-11.mp4[/flv]

Shares of Dish Network up 9% in the aftermath of AT&T’s failed bid to acquire T-Mobile. Michael McCormack, Nomura telecom analyst, weighs in on whether Dish is the next target for AT&T.  (2 minutes)

The Legal Aid Society of Cleveland last week was busily helping desperate consumers against holiday-time foreclosures, disputes with big companies that go unresolved, and those in need of basic legal advice until AT&T disconnected dozens of their phone lines over a billing dispute.

According to the Society, AT&T remotely shut off dozens of their lines over an unpaid phone bill that belonged to another customer unrelated to the group, and the phone company said it could take weeks to turn the phone lines back on.

“If you can shut us down in 30 seconds, why can’t you get us back up in 30 seconds,” Margaret Terry tells WEWS-TV. “I mean what kind of organization are they running?”

So far, AT&T has only forwarded incoming calls to another Aid Society in an adjacent county — one with just four incoming lines.

An 6 o’clock news account of AT&T’s foot-dragging seemed to speed things up.  Company officials were promising a resolution by this morning.

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/WEWS Cleveland ATT phone service problems 12-21-11.mp4[/flv]

WEWS finds out what the problem is after AT&T disconnected dozens of phone lines belonging to the Legal Aid Society in Cleveland — all over an unpaid phone bill that belonged to someone else.  (2 minutes)

Verizon Wireless 4G LTE customers experienced problems for the second Wednesday in three weeks, as another network outage plagued the “most reliable wireless network in the U.S.”

Verizon officials admitted the outage was a problem early this morning, mostly for 4G customers.  But many LTE phone owners found that switching their 4G phones to 3G service didn’t fix a thing, leaving them once again without any data service.

“When my 4G beacon switched off, the 3G beacon only stayed on a second before it was gone as well,” shares Stop the Cap! reader Roger, who lives in Denver.  “Even when I turned 4G off, 3G just would not stay enabled.”

This problem was remarkably similar to a lengthy day-and-a-half outage that brought down many of Verizon’s 4G customers on Dec. 6 and 7.

“Verizon Wireless 4G LTE service is returning to normal this morning after company engineers worked to resolve an issue with the 4G network during the early morning hours today,” the company said in a statement. “Throughout this time, 4G LTE customers were able to make voice calls and send and receive text messages. The 3G data network operated normally.”

That may be true for 3G-only customers.

Verizon’s second major national outage is starting to test the patience of some of its customers who bought service from the company based on its reliability track record.

“This is a second huge FAIL for Verizon in just a few weeks, and I’m growing annoyed,” Roger says. “I could live with a downgrade to 3G for a few hours, but Verizon 4G phones seem to have a problem stepping down to the slower network when there is a problem with their 4G LTE network.  This means 3G-only phone owners have service as usual, while the rest of us do not.”

Verizon’s 4G network is fast becoming among the world’s largest, and its penchant for service problems during the overnight hours likely means a software upgrade or patch is responsible.  As the update propagates across Verizon’s network, service problems begin to spread from region to region.

As LTE technology improves, Verizon customers are effectively beta-testers and suffer the consequences when a bad piece of software has unintended consequences.

Service credits are available on request from Verizon Wireless customer service.

Frontier Communications sees itself as more than just a landline provider.  The company has spent years grooming its customer support division into the lucrative business of “on-call technical support” for computer and technology neophytes.  When technical support staff are not helping Frontier’s broadband customers with a service problem, they might be assisting a customer trying to back up (or restore) files from their computer or help with virus or spyware issues.

It all comes at a price, of course — up to $12.99 a month for the “full package” of antivirus software, file backup, and “family-safe” web browsing.

Now Frontier is hoping some of their customers will gift the protection package this holiday season by offering gift cards.  Some 16 Kroger supermarkets in West Virginia will offer two versions — Frontier Secure at $25 for six months and $50 for one year of the company’s “Personal Security Bundle”— a 50 percent discount.

The core of Frontier’s security suite is F-Secure, a lesser-known security package that runs $59.99 a year (direct from their website), for up to three computers.  Substantial discounts can be found elsewhere.

Frontier does not limit the support suite to their customers — anyone can buy-in.  Customers who don’t have a free tech support “agent” in the form of a friend or family member may find the service useful, especially if they require considerable hand-holding.  Frontier certainly finds the product line profitable.  Many customers find themselves attached to at least one of Frontier’s support packages as part of a product bundle, locked in with a 1-3 year service agreement.  Since only a minority of customers may actually require online or telephone customer support, Frontier can book much of the monthly fee as easy revenue.

Copper thieves left thousands of phone customers in Eugene, Ore. without telephone service, forcing volunteer firefighters to get walk-in reports of fire and medical emergencies after 911 service was disrupted.

Authorities are looking for the suspects who scaled telephone poles and removed several hundred feet of critical phone wiring that provided service in the Eugene area.  CenturyLink officials rushed to pull new cables across phone poles to get service restored, and much of Eugene had their telephone landlines back within 24 hours.

CenturyLink and Oregon authorities claim copper thieves are now primarily targeting copper landlines because electrical lines are more dangerous and phone wire insulation is easier to burn or strip off, leaving the thieves with spools of bare copper wiring easily sold to scrap dealers.

Copper prices have spiked over the past few years, increasing interest among thieves.  Officials in several states have partnered with scrap dealers to try and limit illicit sales, and criminal penalties have been increased.

Occasionally, copper line theft also disrupts cell phone service, because many cell towers are still connected via copper circuits, especially in rural areas thieves favor.

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/KMTR Eugene Phone Service Restored in Eugene 12-19-11.mp4[/flv]

KMTR in Eugene covers the latest copper caper affecting CenturyLink phone customers in Oregon.  (2 minutes)