Verizon is pulling back on its traditional landline service and FiOS expansion to continue focusing on its more-profitable wireless service.

Verizon Communications’ landline customers will endure continued cost cutting as the company focuses on its increasingly profitable wireless division, now set to bring in even more profits with Verizon Wireless’ transition to new, often higher-priced service plans.

Verizon executive vice-president and chief financial officer Fran Shammo yesterday told investors attending Bank of America-Merrill Lynch Media’s Communications & Entertainment Conference that the company is pleased with Verizon Wireless’ successful transition to Share Everything, which includes a shared data plan for multiple wireless devices.

Shammo characterized the true nature of Share Everything as a data plan that happens to include unlimited calling and messaging.

“It really comes down to data consumption and that is what drives revenue,” Shammo told investors. “And really the reason we did this was because we saw what happened in Asia with some of the text messaging and the dilution and voice migration.  So you are protecting that revenue stream going forward and we think that is beneficial to the consumer and the company.”

Shammo sees increased profits in Verizon’s future as customers transitioning away from unlimited data plans eventually bump up and over their new plan limits. But the revenue gains actually begin the moment customers sign up, as those bringing various wireless devices to a shared data plan are immediately told to upgrade for a larger data allowance at an additional cost.

“We are telling them that they really need 2GB per device,” Shammo said. “So if they want to bring five devices, they really should be buying the 10GB ($60/month) plan. What we are finding is customers are very receptive to that formula because they can get their head around the 2 gigabytes. They understand what their usage is. So part of it is that they are actually buying higher up packages than we’ve anticipated.”

Verizon also has a plan to deal with potential bill shock from customers using their wireless devices for high bandwidth applications. The company is receptive to letting content producers pay Verizon to cover customer usage charges.

Share Everything = a data plan that happens to include unlimited calling and messaging

“So when you look at that, revenue per account may not go up, but service revenue will because you are just getting it from someone else,” Shammo said. “So the LTE network allows the differentiation, and the way I like to classify it as you can have an 800 service over here, which is ‘free data’ because somebody else is paying for that and then you have your consumption data over here.”

Shammo believes customers who gave up their unlimited data plan believing Verizon’s basic data allowance will suffice for years to come will be surprised at how fast they will hit their limits as wireless data becomes more important.

“I think we are going to see this accretion faster than people think,” Shammo said. “If you look at our SpectrumCo [cable operators Cox, Comcast, Bright House Networks, and Time Warner Cable] deal, [CEO Lowell McAdam] and the team did an outstanding job convincing the Department of Justice about the innovation that can happen here and maybe being the first in the world to really integrate wireless with inside the home and content outside the home. And if you think about how that content can be streamed outside the home within cars, you really say this is unlimited as to where this can go. So I think the innovation is going to come very, very quickly here.”

With the spectrum deal with cable operators in place, Shammo said Verizon will not be in the market for any large spectrum acquisitions in the near future, and even plans to sell off some excess spectrum it does not currently need, so long as the company gets paid what it believes the spectrum is worth.

Verizon’s concern for keeping large amounts of cash on hand is evident as it continues to reduce investments in traditional landline service and FiOS. In fact, Verizon said it would continue increasing prices for its FiOS fiber network to more closely align with the higher prices cable companies are charging.

“We have really concentrated this year on getting our price points equivalent to where the rest of the market was,” Shammo said. “We were actually underpriced with a superior product to cable. So the concerted effort was we needed to do some price-ups and we are doing that over — we started in the first quarter. We did it in the second; we are doing it in the third. You saw some of that benefit come through in the second quarter where we delivered a 2.5% mass-market revenue increase, which was I think the best in years and I see that doubling by year-end. So I think that, coming out of this year, we will be on a very good path for a mass-market revenue increase.”

Two service calls in six months may get your traditional landline canceled and moved to Verizon FiOS phone service, which requires 10 digit dialing for every number.

But those rate increases will not deliver improved service. If fact, Shammo said Verizon will continue reducing costs and investments in its network. Much of its investment in the landline business has been to support Verizon Wireless’ growth through its IP backbone and fiber-to-cell-tower projects. Shammo predicts capital investments will continue to be flat to down.

One example where the cost-cutting is apparent is how Verizon deals with service calls for troubled phone lines.

Verizon landline customers in FiOS areas who report chronic service problems may find themselves disconnected and switched to FiOS Voice over IP phone service instead, because Verizon has quietly set new in-house rules about the number of permitted service calls for each customer.

“If we have a copper customer who is what we classify as a chronic (two truck rolls in a period of six months for that copper line), I am losing money on that copper customer,” Shammo said. “So if I can take that chronic customer and move them to FiOS, I deplete the amount of operational expense to keep that customer on and now I have moved them over to the FiOS network where they get the benefit of FiOS digital voice, which is clearer.”

Once a customer gets switched to FiOS, Verizon’s marketing machine swings into action.

“I now can put their DSL service onto FiOS Internet where they now realize the speeds of FiOS and what we are seeing preliminarily is even if we take a voice and DSL customer and move them, they are starting to buy up in bundles because they are starting to see the benefit of the higher speeds,” Shammo said. “Then we open up the sales routine to go after them, now for the FiOS TV product.”

Unlimited data holdouts can leave

Shammo added Verizon is becoming more concerned than ever about long term investments that leave the company waiting years for a return.

“Lowell and I have a very concerted effort to really make sure that the investments we make are returning their invested capital in a very short period of time,” said Shammo.

That spells trouble for landline service upgrades and future FiOS expansion, which both require the company to take a long term view recouping those investments. But even Verizon’s wireless business’ capital expenses are down — by $1.3 billion through the first half of this year.

Verizon Wireless has also picked up nearly $5 billion in cost savings through restructuring, including lucrative revenue earned from new activation and upgrade fees and also tightening up on subsidized wireless phone upgrades.

For customers holding onto unlimited data plans, intending to get their money’s worth from them, Shammo has a message:

“Quite honestly, they could leave my network because you are not making much money on those.”

A Short History of Wireless Cable

Spectrum offered Chicago competition to larger ON-TV, selling commercial-free movies and sports on scrambled UHF channel 66 (today WGBO-TV).

Long before many Americans had access to cable television, watching premium commercial-free entertainment in the 1970s was only possible in a handful of large cities, where television stations gave up a significant chunk of their broadcast day to services like ON-TV, Spectrum, SelecTV, Prism, Starcase, Preview, VEU, and SuperTV. For around $20 a month, subscribers received a decoder box to watch the encrypted UHF broadcast programming, which consisted of sports, popular movies and adult entertainment. The channels were relatively expensive to receive, suffered from the same reception problems other UHF stations often had in large metropolitan areas, and were frequently pirated by non-paying customers with modified decoder boxes.

With the spread of cable television into large cities, the single channel over-the-air services were doomed, and between 1983-1985,virtually all of their operations closed down, converting to all-free-viewing, usually as an independent or ethnic language television outlet.

But the desire for competition for cable television persisted, and in the mid-1980s the Federal Communications Commission allocated two blocks of frequencies for entertainment video delivery. The FCC earlier allocated part of this channel space to Instructional Television Fixed Services (ITFS) for programming from schools, hospitals, and religious groups, which could use the capacity to transmit programming to different buildings and potentially to viewers at home with the necessary equipment.

Home Box Office got its start broadcasting on microwave frequencies before moving to satellite.

In practice, ITFS channels allocated during the 1970s were underutilized, because running such an operation was often beyond the budgets and technical expertise of many educational institutions. Premium movie entertainment once again drove the technology forward. After signing off at the end of the school day, Home Box Office, Showtime, and The Movie Channel signed on, using microwave technology to distribute their services to area cable systems and some subscribers. As those premium services migrated to satellite distribution beginning in 1975, reallocation for a new kind of “wireless cable TV” became a reality.

Wireless cable (technically known as “multichannel multipoint distribution service”) began in earnest in the late 1980s and early 1990s, with a package of around 32 channels — typically over the air stations, popular cable networks, and one or two premium movie channels. Some operations in smaller cities sought to beam just a channel or two of premium movies or adult entertainment to paying subscribers, the latter at a substantial price premium. Installation costs paid by providers were more affordable than traditional cable television — around $350 for wireless vs. $1,000 for cable television. That made wireless attractive in rural areas where installation costs for cable television could run even higher.

However, it was not too long before wireless cable operators ran into problems with their business models. Obtaining affordable programming was always difficult. Some cable networks, then-owned by large cable systems, either refused to do business with their wireless competitors or charged discriminatory rates to carry their networks. By the time legislative relief arrived, the wireless industry realized they now had a capacity problem. As cable television systems were being upgraded in the 1990s, the number of channels cable customers received quickly grew to 60 or more (with many more to come with the advent of “digital cable”). Wireless cable was stuck with just 32 channels and a then-analog platform. Satellite television was also becoming a larger competitive threat in rural areas, with DirecTV and Dish delivering hundreds of channels.

American Telecasting gave up its wireless cable ventures, under such names as People’s Wireless TV and SuperView in 1997, selling out to companies including Sprint and BellSouth (today AT&T). BellSouth pulled the plug on the services in February, 2001.

Wireless providers simply could not compete with their smaller packages, and most closed down or sold their operations, often to phone companies. The few remaining systems, mostly in rural areas, have typically combined their wireless frequencies with satellite provider partners to deliver television, slow broadband, and IP-based telephone service.

Rebooting Wireless Cable for the 21st Century

By the early-2000’s the Federal Communications Commission proposed a new allocation for a “Multichannel Video and Data Distribution Service” (MVDDS). Designed to share the 12.2-12.7GHz band with Direct Broadcast Satellite (DBS) services DirecTV and Dish, MVDDS was partly envisioned as a potential way to deliver local stations to satellite subscribers over ground-based transmitters. But things have evolved well beyond that concept, especially after both satellite providers began using “spot beams” to deliver local stations to different regions from their existing fleet of orbiting satellites.

MVDDS was ultimately opened up to be either a competing cable television-like service or for wireless broadband, or both. Michael Powell, then-chairman of the FCC during the first term of George W. Bush, said the technology was free to develop as providers saw fit:

What is MVDDS? The short answer is that we do not know.  Its name, Multichannel Video Distribution and Data Service, seems to suggest everything is possible – and perhaps it is.

But the service rules the Commission has adopted do not require MVDDS to provide any particular kind of service – it could be a multichannel video, or data, or digital radio service, or any other permutation on spectrum use.

The Commission was once in the business of requiring spectrum holders to provide a certain type of service.  That approach failed because government is a very bad predictor of technology and markets – both of which move a lot faster than government.  Over the past decade or so, the Commission has adopted more flexible service rules that bound a service based largely on interference limitations and its allocation (fixed or mobile, terrestrial or satellite).  In this Order, we follow that flexible model for MVDDS.

In 2004 and 2005, licenses to operate MVDDS services were opened up for auction, and a handful of companies won the bulk of them: MDS America, which built a 700-channel wireless cable system in the United Arab Emirates, DTV Norwich, an affiliate of cable operator Cablevision, and South.com, which is really satellite provider Dish Network. Another significant winner was Mr. Bruce E. Fox, who wants to partner with other providers to finance and operate MVDDS services.

Cablevision and Fox are the two most active license recipients at the moment.

A Look at Today’s MVDDS Wireless Players

Fox launched Go Long Wireless in Baltimore as a demonstration project. Go Long transmits its signal from the roof of the World Trade Center at the Baltimore Inner Harbor to the Emerging Technology Center, a business incubator site a few miles away. Fox believes the technology is especially suited to multi-dwelling units like apartment complexes and condos. He plans to work with other service providers who will market and bill the service under their own brand names. Fox does not seem to be interested in challenging the marketplace status quo. He does not believe in using MVDDS to provide television service, for example. In Fox’s view, the real money is in broadband and Voice over IP telephone service.

Cablevision’s involvement is more direct-to-consumer. Its Clearband service– now operating under the new brand ‘OMGFAST’ — is now selling up to 50/3Mbps wireless broadband service in the Deerfield Beach, Fla. area. The company has had nothing to say about whether this service is slated to expand, and if it does, Cablevision will not be permitted to operate it in areas where they already provide cable service, due to the FCC’s cross-ownership rules.

OMGFAST originally bundled voice service in its broadband packages, which it sold at different price points: 12Mbps for $39.95 a month, 25Mbps for $59.95 a month, and 50Mbps at $79.95. The company also tested a 50Mbps promotion priced at $29.95 a month for three months, $59.95 ongoing. Today it offers a better deal: $29.95 a month for 50Mbps service as an ongoing rate. (Expect to pay $10 a month more for mandatory equipment rental, and $14.95 a month if you also want voice service.)

[flv width=”640″ height=”450″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/Clearband FAST 50 Mbps Internet.flv[/flv]

Here is a promotional video explaining how Clearband (now OMGFAST) wireless broadband works. (3 minutes)

MVDDS currently delivers broadband with similar constraints cable systems operate under — namely, download speeds are much faster than upload speeds. That is because upstream bandwidth relies on another transmission technology, often WiMAX, in the 3.65 GHz or 5 GHz bands.

The wireless technology is also very “line of sight,” meaning the tower must be within six miles of the subscriber and not blocked by any obstructions. Hills, buildings, even heavy foliage can all block MVDDS signals the same way satellite signals can be blocked (they share the same frequencies).

Most customers end up with an antenna that very much resembles a traditional satellite dish from DirecTV or Dish, mounted on a roof. To maximize available bandwidth, MVDDS uses a configuration similar to cellular systems, with up to 900Mbps of total bandwidth available to each 90-degree narrow beam sector.

Cablevision has MVDDS licenses to serve most large cities in the United States.

The question is, how will license holders ultimately use the technology. Although originally proposed as a competitor to traditional cable or satellite TV, deregulation has left the fate of MVDDS in the hands of the operators.

Some are considering not selling the service to consumers at all, but rather making a market out of providing backhaul connectivity for cell towers. Dish may be interested in using its licenses to offer customers a triple play package of broadband and phone service with its satellite TV package. Nobody seems particularly interested in providing television service over MVDDS, primarily because programmers’ demands for higher carriage payments would cut into revenue.

Even Cablevision isn’t completely sure what it wants to do. Although it currently is trialing broadband and phone service in Florida, the company earlier petitioned the FCC for increased power to establish a more suitable wireless backhaul service it can sell to mobile phone companies.

For the moment, reviews seem relatively positive for the Florida market test. Of course, as more customers pile on a wireless service, the less speed becomes available to each customer. OMGFAST does not appear to be currently concerned, noting it has no usage caps on its service.

Want to know which provider may be coming to your area? See below the jump for a list of the top-three bid winners and the cities they are now licensed to serve, in order of market size.

… Continue Reading

A new forecast from an industry research firm predicts sales of tablets with built-in LTE-4G connectivity will continue to drop because of high prices for wireless data from the nation’s cellular phone companies.

CCS Insight notes (via FierceWireless) that only 48 percent of tablets shipped in 2011 were enabled with built-in cellular capability. The researcher predicts that number will drop to 37 percent by 2016.

“Most users do not regard cellular connectivity in tablets as a must-have, especially given the current price of tablets and mobile data subscriptions,” CCS reports.

Customers simply do not find the $100+ price premium for a cellular-enabled tablet worth the expense, especially when they also face costly data charges to use the service. Most tablet owners prefer to rely on Wi-Fi, often provided free of charge. Among those who acquire a cellular-enabled tablet, nearly half never bother to activate the wireless service from the supported carrier.

“In the future, the share of cellular-enabled tablets will be determined by three factors: the availability and attractiveness of multi-device tariffs from mobile operators; the availability of public Wi-Fi networks; and the difference between the retail prices of cellular and Wi-Fi-only tablets,” CCS found.

Carriers like Verizon and AT&T hope their new “family share” data plans will ease the pain for customers who want to use their tablets on cellular networks, but companies still have to overcome the substantially higher price cell modem-equipped tablets carry and the expensive price tag for data usage, shared or otherwise. Verizon Wireless is not making it any easier. It discontinued selling subsidized tablets to customers this month.

Time Warner Cable is facing possible prosecution for vandalism over sidewalk graffiti the company used in Redondo Beach, Calif. to advertise its Wi-Fi network — a service the city claims the company has no authorization to provide.

Redondo Beach officials immediately began receiving complaints the morning of July 5 when Time Warner Cable’s blue chalk advertising messages began appearing all over the city’s sidewalks.

City councilman Steve Aspel told the cable operator’s director of government relations that constituents were upset about the large promotional messages.

Time Warner’s Wi-Fi equipment (City of Redondo Beach)

“It really pissed me off and everybody in the neighborhood too,” Aspel told Time Warner’s Steven Sawyer. “Please have your company never do that again.”

Aspel told Sawyer nobody knew the messages were written in chalk, which will likely dissipate in a few days or sooner in any significant rain storm. The thought the cable company might have used blue paint on public sidewalks enraged several local residents.

But city officials were even more concerned about the fact Time Warner Cable has a Wi-Fi service up and running in Redondo Beach, without any permission from city officials to either install or operate it.

Assistant City Manager Marissa Christiansen told the council Time Warner was not allowed to operate any Wi-Fi network inside the city without explicit permission from the council. The city had been negotiating with the cable operator to grant permission to install the necessary Wi-Fi hotspots in the city’s right of way, but the cable company went ahead and installed them anyway, according to city manager Bill Workman.

“When we actually saw the markings on the sidewalk and put two and two together that it had all gone on without all the things we had discussed in those meetings, we, too, were very upset,” Workman said. “Very clearly, this is outside of their state franchise.”

Cable operators also require a building permit to install new equipment on public property.

Sawyer told the city council Time Warner apologized for the sidewalk markings, and the company moved quickly to remove them.

“We’ve done these markings in other cities and have never had an issue,” Sawyer said.

City attorney Mike Webb said there is an active criminal investigation underway to determine if the sidewalk messages are criminal graffiti, and was not in a position to elaborate as to if or when the cable operator would be prosecuted for violating the city’s municipal code.

Discussions about the Wi-Fi service itself are reportedly ongoing.

Time Warner Cable is planning major expansion of its network of Wi-Fi hotspots across southern California and into other service areas nationwide in the coming years.

Despite concerns from consumer groups that a deal to exchange wireless spectrum in return for collaborative marketing between two competitors will lead to higher prices for consumers, the Federal Communications Commission seems prepared to approve it, according to a report from the Reuters news agency.

Two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters the FCC has taken the lead on the “spectrum transfer” issue, which involves turning over prime wireless spectrum currently owned by large cable operators Comcast, Time Warner Cable, Cox, and Bright House Networks to Verizon Wireless. The combined licenses the cable industry holds are in the majority of major American cities, which critics charge Verizon will acquire to eliminate any potential competitive threat from a new nationwide wireless carrier.

Verizon’s recent moves to sell off its own “excess” spectrum to its current competitors has garnered favor inside the FCC, according to sources. Verizon Wireless recently agreed to transfer some of that spectrum to T-Mobile USA, which coincidentally was a fierce opponent of the deal between Verizon and cable operators. T-Mobile’s opposition has since muted.

Licenses owned by the cable industry would have been expansive enough to launch a new national wireless competitor. (Image: Phonescoop)

The deal between Verizon and the nation’s top cable companies is worth about $3.9 billion, but the Justice Department continues to signal concerns it would ultimately cost consumers more than that. According to Reuters, Verizon remains in “tougher talks” with lawyers inside the Justice Department who are concerned cooperative marketing between the phone and cable companies would result in decreased competition and higher prices.

One source told Reuters regulators were hoping Verizon’s now-stalled fiber to the home network FiOS would bring major competition to the cable industry, which until then had only faced moderate competition from satellite dish providers. In return, Comcast and other cable operators were expected to invade the wireless phone marketplace, adding needed competition.

Instead, both sides have retreated to their respective positions — Verizon focusing on its wireless service and Comcast and other cable companies abandoning interest in wireless phones and sticking to cable-based products.

The idea that both would begin to cross-market each other’s products is “a problem” according to the Justice source not authorized to speak publicly.

Additionally, concerns are being raised over a proposed “joint operating entity” between Verizon and cable operators that would focus on developing new technologies that could lock out those not in the consortium.

No decision is expected from the Justice Department until August, but Justice officials have signaled they have several options they can pursue:

1. Sue to stop the spectrum transfer;
2. Force the companies to modify their proposal to reduce potential collusion;
3. Approve the deal but monitor how cross-marketing agreements impact on consumer markets for wireless and cable products.