Ebenezer Scrooge could successfully serve as the CEO of any large telecommunications company these days, and the New York Times knows a Christmas tale of woe when it sees one.  That is why the venerable newspaper printed a Christmas Eve editorial blasting Verizon’s new “non-aggression treaty” with America’s largest cable companies that puts coal in the stocking for any Verizon customer waiting for FiOS fiber-to-the-home service.  The newspaper believes the days of FiOS are numbered:

Verizon — Verizon Wireless’s main shareholder — relieved itself of the need to expand FiOS, its high-speed, fiber optic network, beyond the 18 million homes it set out to reach six years ago, a rollout that cost $23 billion. For the other 114 million homes in the country, it can simply bundle its wireless service with the cable and wireline broadband services of its partners. The agreement between Verizon and the cable carriers includes a joint venture to develop technology to integrate the wireline and wireless platforms.

Verizon’s cable deals squashed hopes that cable carriers’ purchases of wireless spectrum would lead to more competition against the dominant players, AT&T and Verizon Wireless. And it puts in doubt whether FiOS will ever be a serious competitor to cable, reducing the likelihood that video transmitted over broadband could break up cable’s regional oligopolies.

[…] Verizon’s deals suggest a future in which cable carriers will get uncontested control of high-speed broadband into the home while AT&T and Verizon will get uncontested control over wireless. For consumers with expensive wireless plans, pricey bundles of cable channels and costly, slow broadband, this does not look like good news.

Verizon’s economic future lies in the lucrative world of wireless.  Its FiOS network was an expensive gamble to reinvent its antiquated telephone network to drive customers to keep their landlines and spent a hundred dollars more on video entertainment and super fast broadband.  Wall Street hated the price and loathed the potential for costly competition that would force earnings down through aggressive price-cutting.  In some markets, Verizon FiOS has forced Comcast, Cablevision, and Time Warner Cable to be a little more generous with broadband speed and lighten up a little on the annual rate increases.

But convincing cable customers to switch remains a difficult proposition even when Verizon offers the superior service.  Verizon has not achieved the level of penetration it expected in many markets.  In short, people just don’t want to wait around for installers.  Besides, cable companies slash prices for customers threatening to depart.

Verizon’s deal with Time Warner and Comcast delivers Verizon Wireless desirable spectrum.  But the agreement to cross-market and cross-bundle product lines smacks of collusion, and is exactly the kind of turf protection that has kept cable companies from competing head-to-head with each other for more than three decades.  Is it more lucrative for Verizon to build out its FiOS network to compete or simply refer people to Time Warner or Cablevision for cable TV.  So long as cable doesn’t offer a competing wireless product, Verizon seems to think there is little harm done.

But for consumers, the absence of competition brings rate increases, reduced innovation, and declining customer service.

The one thing the telecom marketplace needs less of is the “take it or leave it” attitude that earned the scorn of cable customers everywhere.

Time Warner Cable customers in southern California face substantial rate increases in 2012, including a budget-busting $49.99 service call fee to install increasingly expensive cable service.

The bad news is arriving in customer bills this month, with substantial price hikes for cable television —  including a 27.4% increase for the package that only includes local broadcast channels.  Time Warner Cable blames increasing programming costs for the rate increases, which are several times higher than the official rate of inflation — 3.5%.  Most customers with bundled television, telephone, and Internet service will see a smaller increase on the magnitude of a few dollars, but for those picking and choosing only a few items from Time Warner’s menu, the price tag for individual services will be higher.

The largest rate increase comes when the cable company sends a truck to a home or business.  Time Warner was charging $32.99, but will now charge $49.99 — a 51.5% increase.  The cable company has also been pushing its home networking Wi-Fi option, and will now charge $69.99 to install it, up from $49.99.

Time Warner Cable spokesman Jim Gordon tells the Los Angeles Times not everyone will pay those prices.  Certain promotions may lower those rates, or waive them altogether.  But the company offered little explanation to justify such a major price hike.

One of the cable company’s competitors, DirecTV, scoffed at Time Warner’s rate increase, noting the satellite company only raised prices an average of 4% earlier this year, and anticipates a similar increase in 2012.

The effect of the latest round of rate hikes is likely to drive even more customers to cancel or cut back on cable services.  An increasing number are dropping cable television service altogether, relying on broadband for video entertainment.  The cable industry’s response to cord-cutting has been a combination of increased online viewing options for cable-TV customers and usage caps and overlimit fees on broadband that either discourage online viewing or attempts to profit from it.  Time Warner Cable executives said as recently as December they plan to eventually introduce “usage based billing” of Internet service “the right way rather than quickly.”

It’s the holiday season which means it is a safe bet Time Warner Cable is in dispute with at least one of their programmers over rights fees.  This year, MSG Networks is threatening to pull the plug on Time Warner subscribers if the cable operator does not agree to a wholesale rate increase in contract renewal talks.

MSG is letting cable customers know their favorite sports teams are facing a video blackout if the cable operator doesn’t sign a renewal by the end of the month.

Time Warner Cable’s Jeff Simmermon says MSG is demanding a 53% rate increase, and double that if the cable company doesn’t put back MSG Media’s Fuse music channel, which Time Warner dropped in many markets.

It turns out there is plenty of room to negotiate between MSG’s 53% request and what Time Warner thought it had earlier agreed to — a milder 6.5% hike.  Time Warner spokeswoman Maureen Huff said if MSG gets their way, the sports network will become the most expensive channel on the cable dial — an expense that will inevitably find its way into the next rate hike for every cable subscriber.

The contract is due to expire Dec. 31.  Time Warner says it won’t pull the channel from its lineup, effectively daring MSG to block reception by switching off Time Warner’s digital satellite authorization for the networks.

MSG and MSG Plus are in the crossfire, and the biggest impact from the loss of either will be felt in Buffalo and New York City.

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/WIVB Buffalo Dispute may kick Sabres off Time Warner 12-16-11.mp4[/flv]

WIVB in Buffalo warns Time Warner subscribers to brace themselves for the potential loss of the wildly-popular Sabres hockey team.  (1 minute)

Cablevision's top executives head on out. Tom Rutledge (left) and John Bickham (right) left within weeks of each other.

The unexpected and sudden departure of two senior executives at Bethpage, N.Y.-based Cablevision has pushed the rumor mill into overdrive the cable company is about to be sold or taken private.

John Bickham, president of cable communications and chief operating officer Tom Rutledge will both be spending more quality time with their respective families after departing Cablevision.  Last Thursday’s announcement that Rutledge would resign caused Cablevision’s stock price to drop by nearly 14% during trading Friday.

The inevitable conclusion on Wall Street: Cablevision is about to be sold or taken private.

Major shareholders and investment firms have criticized Cablevision over the years for being “too successful” signing customers to fixed price double or triple-play packages that provide a full suite of products and services, but deliver few growth opportunities shareholders demand. With heavy competition from Verizon FiOS in most of their service areas, Cablevision’s ability to simply raise rates is limited, especially when customers bounce between promotional offers from the phone and cable companies.

Rutledge’s departure, in particular, has been seen as a major negative on Wall Street because he was responsible for many of Cablevision’s most innovative products, including streamed video, his advocacy for boosting broadband speeds, and the company’s aggressive move into home security.

Craig Moffett, a Wall Street analyst from Sanford Bernstein, thinks Comcast and Time Warner Cable are set to divide the spoils in a shared buyout — Comcast grabbing northern New Jersey and Connecticut and Time Warner Cable assuming control of Cablevision’s systems in New York.  But other analysts don’t think that scenario is so likely, especially when considering the Dolan family’s long history in the cable business.

ISI Group Inc. analyst Vijay Jayant told Light Reading Cable he believes the more likely scenario would have the Dolan family buying out shareholders and taking the cable company private.

Time Warner Cable has repeatedly informed shareholders the company will not engage in bidding wars or overpay to win new acquisitions, and the Dolan family’s selling price for Cablevision is likely far higher than Time Warner would be willing to pay.  Comcast might have a political problem assuming control of more cable systems after its recent merger with NBC-Universal.  Shareholders may also rebel, as they did in a 2007 effort to take Cablevision private.  Investors felt they were offered too low a price to compensate them for their shares.

Moffett believes Cablevision’s days of high earnings and rapid growth are behind them, because just about everyone who wants cable service already has it, either from Verizon FiOS or Cablevision.

“No, we don’t think [Cablevision] can grow. And, no, we don’t think the rest of cable is doomed to the same fate,” Bernstein’s Moffett wrote in a report in late November. “The cause of [Cablevision’s] growth decline is straightforward: it has been so successful in achieving high product penetrations that growing further is quite challenging.”

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/Bloomberg Joyce Says Cablevision May Be a Takeover Target 12-16-11.mp4[/flv]

David Joyce, media analyst at Miller Tabak & Co., talks about Cablevision Systems Corp. Chief Operating Officer Tom Rutledge’s resignation and the outlook for the company.  Bloomberg News.  (5 minutes)

Time Warner’s new Android app

Time Warner Cable has introduced a new free app that will eventually allow subscribers with an authenticated cable television package to stream dozens of channels over their Android-powered portable phones and tablets like that graphic drawing tablet with screen.

The TWC TV™ App for Android lets your Android device change the channel on your TV from anywhere in your home and manage your DVR inside or outside of your home.

Other features include:
– Interactive program guide – view program listings for up to 7 days and change channels on compatible set-top boxes
– View a filtered guide showing favorite channels or HD channels only
– Search for programming by title or episode
– Schedule and manage upcoming DVR recordings on compatible DVRs
– Adjust recording start/end times and change save time

Requirements
– Compatible Android smartphone or tablet (see below)
– Time Warner Cable video package at the Standard (Expanded Basic) level or higher
– Compatible set-top box or DVR (Motorola iGuide equipment is currently unsupported)
– Internet connection (WiFi or 3G)
– Time Warner Cable user name and password

Compatibility
– TWC TV supports most smartphones running Android 2.1 (Éclair) and higher
– TWC TV for tablets supports the Motorola Xoom, Samsung Galaxy Tab 10.1 and Sony Tablet S running Android 3.x. Other Honeycomb 3.x tablets with 1280×800 resolution should also work.

Those hoping to stream Time Warner Cable’s video lineup will have to wait.

“Once manufacturers and cellular carriers begin to upgrade their phones to Android 4.0 (Ice Cream Sandwich), we will release an update to offer in-home live TV on these devices,” Jeff Simmermon, Time Warner Cable’s director of digital communications wrote on the company’s blog. “We expect to see those upgrades early next year.”

A brief test of the new app at Stop the Cap! HQ ended quickly because Time Warner Cable’s My Services authentication portal has been down this morning.  That causes the app to generate an error message stating it cannot find a compatible DVR or set top box.  This is one of the problems customers face from online authentication systems.  If they go down, your access to “TV Everywhere” content goes with it.

Simmermon adds that Apple iPhone owners will be able to obtain the app sometime in January.  For now, only Apple iPad owners can view streamed video content.