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Sell! Sell! Sell! – Wall Street Wants Cablevision Sold Yesterday

Phillip Dampier August 27, 2013 Cablevision (see Altice USA), Charter Spectrum, Competition, Verizon Comments Off on Sell! Sell! Sell! – Wall Street Wants Cablevision Sold Yesterday
forsale

Motivated seller?

Perennially rumored-for-sale Cablevision is getting new pressure to sell its cable systems to the highest bidder, thanks to an increasingly impatient Wall Street hoping to cash in on the next wave of cable consolidation.

Bloomberg News reports “time may be running out” for the suburban New York City cable operator, which has achieved its highest valuation in two years. The $4.8 billion enterprise founded 40 years ago by the Dolan dynasty has always fought to stay independent of larger media companies that have snapped up most of America’s cable landscape, but cracks are forming in the hard-as-concrete resistance to leave the cable business.

Many of America’s still-independent cable systems are watching their values increase as Wall Street speculators predict their days are numbered. Charter Communications, now under the influence of Dr. John Malone, is seen as the primary instigator of cable industry consolidation. Malone advocates fewer than five cable operators in the business, which means companies like Bright House, Cox, Mediacom, Cablevision, and even Time Warner Cable may have to go. Those that want to avoid the Malone consolidation treatment are starting to adopt an “eat or be eaten” mentality, opening the door to potential system acquisition wars in the days ahead.

Optimum-Branding-Spot-New-LogoCablevision has tried to avoid being picked off by the likes of neighboring Comcast or Time Warner Cable by trying (and failing) to go private in 2005 and 2007. Cablevision’s service area formerly extended well into western New York — especially in small communities and rural towns, before selling out to Time Warner Cable and retreating to its home base of Long Island, a few New York City boroughs, and parts of Connecticut and New Jersey.

Regardless of the nostalgia the Dolan family has had in the cable business, shareholders want maximum value for their Cablevision holdings, and that increasingly means selling the operation. Among the likely buyers: a deep-pocketed Time Warner Cable or Charter Communications, the latter willing to take on considerable debt to finance its acquisitions.

“You never say never,” said Cablevision CEO Jim Dolan in response to questions about a possible sale raised during a recent earnings conference call. But Dolan showed no signs of enthusiasm for a sale either.

Most analysts still expect Cablevision to demand a significant premium to sell. Retiring Time Warner Cable CEO Glenn Britt has steadfastly refused to overspend for acquisitions and the company has a history of dropping out of potential deals once prices rise. But Time Warner Cable’s cable properties are adjacent to Cablevision in New York, making a deal a natural fit. Comcast dominates New Jersey.

fishCablevision has recently taken steps that only make a sale more likely, shutting down ancillary businesses like Newsday Westchester, OMGFAST! — a start-up wireless broadband provider in Florida, and selling off Clearview Cinemas, AMC Networks, and reducing holdings in sports programming.

The biggest downside to a Cablevision buyout remains dealing with Verizon FiOS, which competes in most of Cablevision’s territory. The superior fiber network has forced Cablevision to spend on network infrastructure upgrades and cut prices, yet it is still losing customers to the phone company.

A buyout is unlikely to change much unless a company like Google decides it would like to enter the cable business and build an all-fiber network to compete, for now considered a far-fetched notion by most.

Why the interest in cable consolidation? Malone claims much-larger cable operators can stand toe to toe with programmers during negotiations and get better prices for programming and more leverage to move deals along.

Todd Lowenstein, a Los Angeles-based fund manager at HighMark Capital Management Inc., agrees with that assessment, telling Bloomberg the only ways to combat increasing costs for programming are blackouts or getting bigger.

“We’re at an inflection point,” Lowenstein said in a phone interview with the news service. “We’ve hit the upper limit of consumers’ willingness and ability to pay for cable. To get the upper hand, cable needs to scale up and get bigger — and fast.”

AT&T Upgrades 40 Cities to 45/6Mbps U-verse Broadband; Part of Project VIP Expansion

att-uverse40AT&T has boosted the maximum available broadband speed for its U-verse Internet offering to 45/6Mbps service in 40 cities across 15 states.

The broadband speed boost is part of AT&T’s Project Velocity IP (VIP), a three-year plan to expand U-verse’s capabilities and coverage into more communities within AT&T’s local landline service areas.

Most of the funding for Project VIP is being directed into expanding AT&T’s profitable wireless 4G network, but about $6 billion will be spent upgrading AT&T’s aging copper wireline facilities.

A big priority for AT&T is to retire copper-based distribution networks and replacing that wiring with fiber optics. U-verse depends on a significant amount of fiber to provide enough bandwidth for its television, phone and broadband service. But unlike Verizon FiOS, which delivers a fiber connection straight to the home, AT&T still relies on traditional copper wiring into the home.

Until AT&T replaces that copper with fiber, top broadband speeds are unlikely to keep up with its biggest competitor — cable broadband.

AT&T’s says the 45Mbps speed boost represents an incremental upgrade and plans further speed increases to 75Mbps.

In more rural areas, U-verse will rely on IPDSLAM technology to increase speeds up to 45Mbps. AT&T eventually hopes to further bump download speeds to 100Mbps.

For the most rural communities within its service area, AT&T hopes to offer service exclusively over its wireless network, eventually scrapping rural landlines altogether.

[flv width=”480″ height=”380″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/KTAL Shreveport U-verse Coming to Louisiana 8-23-13.mp4[/flv]

KTAL-TV reports AT&T’s upgraded U-verse could soon be coming to Shreveport, La. as part of Project VIP, which may give Comcast some much-needed competition in the Ark-La-Tex region. (3 minutes)

America’s Worst Rated Companies: Charter, Time Warner, Cox, Cablevision, Verizon, Comcast…

charter downNine of the ten lowest ranked firms in America are cable and telephone companies, according to a new report from research firm Temkin Group.

A poll ranking customer service at 235 U.S. companies across 19 industries found cable companies dead last, quickly followed by Internet Service Providers (often those same cable operators).

Participants were asked to rate their satisfaction with different companies on a scale of “1” (very dissatisfied) to “7” (completely satisfied). Not very many participants gave high marks to their telecommunications service provider. Temkin’s resulting net satisfaction score found familiar names in the cable and telephone business scraping the bottom.

America’s worst provider? Charter Communications, which managed an embarrassing dead last 22 percent satisfaction score for television service. Time Warner Cable managed second worst for television at 25%, followed by Cox and Cablevision’s Optimum service (both 28%). Bottom rated Internet service came from Qwest (now CenturyLink), Verizon (presumably DSL), and Charter — all scoring just 31%.

Oddly, Temkin’s survey participants gave top marks to the long-irrelevant AOL for Internet service, which may mean those dial-up customers don’t know any better. Highest marks in television service went to Bright House Communications, which ironically depends on Time Warner Cable for most of its programming negotiations.

temkin bottom rated

Most suspect the ratings show long-term customer dissatisfaction with endless rate increases, poor customer service and reliability, and lack of choice in an increasingly expensive television lineup.

The Temkin Group gathered its data from an online survey of 10,000 consumers in the U.S. during January 2013, all asked to rate their experiences with companies over the past 60 days.

Time Warner Cable/Bright House Add Two New Expensive Sports Networks to Your Lineup

Phillip Dampier August 21, 2013 Consumer News, Editorial & Site News 8 Comments

fox sports 1 Concern about programming costs only goes so far. While Time Warner Cable and Bright House customers continue to go without Showtime and access to CBS programming online (in addition to local station blackouts in New York, Texas and California), the two cable companies have found room in the budget to add two new expensive sports networks to their lineups.

Fox Sports 1 and 2 replaced the much-less-expensive Speed and Fuel Networks Aug. 17 on both cable systems. Fox had been getting 23¢ per subscriber each month for Speed and about 20¢ monthly for Fuel. Fox expects both cable operators to pay a monthly fee of 80¢ per subscriber for Fox Sports 1, rising quickly to $1.50 within a few years, according to Sports Business Daily. The cost of Fox Sports 2 is unknown.

Fox wants the two networks to gradually rival the most expensive network in your cable television package – ESPN. To manage that, Fox will need to engage in a bidding war with its Walt Disney-owned rival to grab the most-watched sporting events. Sports franchises love that, because they will profit handsomely from the proceeds. But both Fox and Walt Disney are bidding with cable subscribers’ money. The more sports programming costs, the higher cable bills will rise. ESPN already charges at least $5 a month per subscriber. To rival ESPN, Fox Sports may eventually have to charge as much, boosting cable bills an extra $4-5 a month for the competing sports networks.

fox sports 2“It’s going to be a popular channel,” said Joe Durkin, Bright House senior director of corporate communications. “It’ll be rich with sports, and we’re happy to bring it to our customers.”

Fox Sports negotiated access to more than 90 million U.S. homes through agreements with most large cable, telephone, and satellite TV distributors. Attracting them: at least 5,000 annual hours of live events and original programming including college basketball and football, joined by Major League Baseball next year. The network will also feature NASCAR, international soccer and Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) competitions.

Fox Sports 2 will feature mixed martial arts at the outset, with more programming coming as the network develops.

Besides the two national sports networks, Fox also owns almost two dozen regional sports channels including Prime Ticket and Fox Sports West. It also acquired a 49% stake in New York’s YES, the Yankees Entertainment and Sports Network, with an option to buy it outright later. It also recently acquired a sports channel in Cleveland.

fxxFox also plans to launch another entertainment cable network Sep. 2 with the debut of a companion to the FX network Fox is calling FXX.

FXX is being programmed for… you guessed it, young adults aged 18-34 — the most coveted demographic for advertisers. It will feature reruns and original programming, including Parks and Recreation, Arrested Development, How I Met Your Mother, Freaks and Geeks, Sports Night, It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia, The League and Totally Biased with W. Kamau Bell.

You may not have asked for the new network, but chances are you are getting it anyway. Fox has signed carriage agreements with Comcast, Time Warner Cable, Charter, Verizon FiOS, AT&T U-verse, and both satellite services.

Baltimore Let Down by Big Telecom; Considers Its Own Public Broadband Network

Baltimore City sealWaiting for Comcast and Verizon to offer cutting edge broadband to 620,000 Baltimore city residents and businesses appears to be going nowhere, so the city is hiring an Internet consultant to consider whether to sell access to its existing fiber network.

Baltimore officials spent at least a year trying to convince Google to launch its fiber network in the city only to be bypassed in favor of Kansas City, Austin, and Provo, Utah. Local unions and community groups have also attempted to embarrass the local phone company by publicly protesting Verizon’s lack of interest in expanding its fiber optic network FiOS in Baltimore. Comcast has proved a disappointment for many, with the latest technology going to other cities well before Baltimore gets improved service.

Baltimore’s Board of Estimates voted to spend $157,000 to hire Magellan Advisors to produce a cost-benefit analysis of expanding the city’s current fiber infrastructure to deliver better Internet access.

“I’m paying more here for lesser service, so I think one of the things we want to try to do is look at that, look at what [current companies] offer and try to incentivize people to offer more,” Baltimore’s chief information officer Chris Tonjes told the Baltimore Business Journal. “In the short term, we’re going to do a study. In the medium run, we’re going to try to renegotiate the cable franchise agreement. In the longer run we want to make it more profitable for providers to come in here and offer the expanded service.”

analysisLike many cities, Baltimore already owns and operates its own fiber ring, built with public funds to support the city’s public safety radio system. Like many municipal institutional fiber networks, Baltimore’s fiber ring is underutilized. Public safety and other institutional users often use just a fraction of available capacity. Despite the fact such networks are often oversized, they are rarely controversial because they do not typically compete with commercial providers and are usually off-limits to the public.

As Baltimore prepares to update their existing fiber infrastructure, Magellan will study the implications of leasing excess capacity to third-party providers that can sell broadband access to private businesses and individuals. Even Comcast and Verizon would be welcome to lease capacity.

Neither company has shown much interest, and the proposal received a strong rebuke from Maryland Sen. Catherine Pugh (D-Baltimore City):

Pugh

Pugh

For the most part, municipally-built broadband networks have the economic chips stacked against them and, where tried, have saddled local taxpayers with a mountain of debt and half-built networks that are then sold at fire-sale prices to vulture investors. Taxpayers in Provo, Utah, for instance, spent $40 million to build a relatively small and modest network only to sell it for $1 a few years later because they underestimated the massive costs of operating, upgrading and maintaining it.

But Provo is just the latest exhibit in a long pantheon of such failed initiatives that include Groton, Conn., ($38 million taxpayer loss) and Marietta, Ga., ($35 million taxpayer loss). Cities as large as Philadelphia, New York and Chicago and as small as Lompoc, Calif., and Acworth, Ga., have also tried and failed to launch their own broadband networks — or simply gave up.

Pugh’s editorial, published in both the Wall Street Journal and The Baltimore Sun, failed to disclose Pugh has received political campaign contributions from both Comcast and Verizon. More importantly, Pugh did not bother to mention she is the president-elect of the National Black Caucus of State Legislators, a group with close ties to both Comcast and Verizon Communications.

Among the “member corporations” of the NBCSL — companies who “weigh in” on the policies promoted by the group: AT&T, Comcast, CTIA – The Wireless Association, the National Cable & Telecommunications Association, Time Warner Cable, and Verizon.

Among the NBCSL's roundtable members: AT&T, Comcast, Time Warner Cable, and Verizon

Among the NBCSL’s roundtable members: AT&T, Comcast, Time Warner Cable, and Verizon

For the fourth consecutive year, Verizon hosted its Black History Month open house at the Reginald F. Lewis Museum in downtown Baltimore. This year, among Verizon’s special guests: Maryland Senator and president-elect of the National Black Caucus of State Legislators Catherine Pugh. Comcast has also opened its checkbook to the NBCSL. Among the contributions — $50,000 to form the “NBCSL/Comcast Broadband Legislative Fellowship” to “increase efforts to conduct research and develop solutions regarding broadband adoption among African Americans.”

Opening up a competitive, lower-priced broadband alternative owned by the citizens of Baltimore is not one of Pugh’s favored solutions to be sure.

The NBCSL has been more than a little preoccupied with the business agendas of its corporate members. The group’s glowing endorsement of the Comcast-NBCUniversal merger was so positive, Comcast continues to present the group’s submission urging approval of the merger on its website. In 2011, the NBCSL signed on to the campaign to get government approval of the now-dead merger of AT&T and T-Mobile USA, claiming it was in the best interests of African-Americans. Just this month, Time Warner Cable quoted the group’s comments on the dispute between the cable company and CBS on its website.

Stop the Cap! has refuted claims that public broadband is a financial failure in the past. Read our fact check here.

Although Comcast has been the dominant cable provider in Baltimore for years, its monopoly status is “de facto” only, because federal law prohibits exclusive cable franchise agreements. That being said, no other well-known cable provider will agree to offer service in competition with another. Overbuilders — small private entities that have business plans that depend on competing with incumbent operators, are few and far between. For most Americans, the only cable competition comes from satellite providers or the phone company. Satellite television lacks a broadband option and Verizon’s local broadband infrastructure is limited to providing DSL service.

Tonjes

Tonjes

Tonjes hopes the possibility of a public broadband alternative might shake up the city’s broadband landscape, but not every neighborhood is now passed by the city’s fiber ring.

Jason Hardebeck, the executive director of the Greater Baltimore Technology Council, told the Journal municipal Wi-Fi could help fill the gap.

“One of the things we’ve talked about at the GBTC is, could this form the basis of a municipal Wi-Fi network in bringing wireless access to some underserved parts of the city,” Hardebeck said. But, he added, “municipal wireless is not a slam dunk. There’s a lot of challenges depending on how deep the coverage area is.”

Pugh is presumably opposed to municipal Wi-Fi solutions for the poorest urban African-American neighborhoods in her city as well, having criticized efforts to bring municipal wireless Internet access to similar neighborhoods in Philadelphia, where Comcast’s corporate headquarters are located.

“The city is woefully underserved with broadband and my opinion is that internet access is becoming a basic public utility or need, just like clean water,” Hardebeck told the Journal. “The current administration understands the need. I don’t know what we can do about the franchise agreement, but I think there’s real opportunities from a redevelopment standpoint. If you had access to ultra-high broadband inexpensively, that could generate activity you would not have anticipated.”

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