Republican FCC Commissioners Love Internet Overcharging: “Pricing Freedom Essential”

Robert F. McDowell

Two Republicans serving on the Federal Communications Commission told attendees at Saturday’s Tech Policy Summit that “usage-based pricing” for wireless broadband could be a solution to congested cell phone data networks.

“Pricing freedom has to be essential, because a small number of users take up the majority of bandwidth. So charging some of the heavy users for that bandwidth makes sense,” Commissioner Robert McDowell said during a panel discussion at the 2010 Consumer Electronics Show.

“I think it’s time to let that happen,” he added. “Net neutrality proponents say it should be an all-you-can-eat price. But that will lead to gridlock.”

The discussion, Inside the FCC’s Communications Agenda, focused on the FCC’s agenda in light of the Obama Administration’s new policy initiatives and the current the impact technology has on regulatory policy.

McDowell was responding to industry reports that Verizon was prepared to abandon all-you-can-eat pricing for wireless data on its forthcoming 4G LTE wireless network, even though it doesn’t actually have such a plan in place at the time the panel discussion was held.

McDowell believes that since private money is constructing the networks capable of delivering LTE service, the company has a right to charge what it pleases for service, reducing demand with a correspondingly higher price for those who use the network more than others.

Meredith Atwell Baker

Consumer advocates argue that current profits in the wireless industry provide ample resources to build and upgrade networks without overcharging consumers with expensive usage based pricing designed to make customers think twice before using the service they pay good money to receive.  Unlimited use pricing is favored by consumers as well.  Most providers abandoned “all you can eat” plans at least a year ago.  Every wireless broadband plan carries some limitations somewhere in the fine print, particularly for plans that are designed for mobile netbooks or laptops.  Virtually all of them either limit usage to 5GB per month or throttle the user who exceeds that amount down to dial-up speeds for the rest of the month.

Meredith Attwell Baker, the newest Republican FCC Commissioner, seemed slightly out of her element in discussing the issue of consumption billing.

As panel moderator Kim Hart reported for The Hill newspaper, Baker has some novel ideas for easing congestion on wireless broadband networks.

“Maybe we move back to a world where people pay for roaming,” she said.

Verizon Wireless Data Corral: Herding Customers Into New Data Plans Starting January 18th

Verizon Wireless is expected to unveil three new data plans on January 18th, including a new smartphone-mandatory “unlimited broadband” 3G plan priced at $29.99 per month, according to documents obtained by Broadband Reports.

The documents, provided by a Verizon Wireless employee, show the company is moving towards mandating all of their customers select some sort of data plan as part of their monthly service.  But unlike some wireless providers that leave options open to customers, Verizon wants to herd customers into data plans based on the types of phones they use:

  • Simple Phones: Basic handsets that are designed for making and receiving phone calls and sending quick text messages from a numeric keypad, typically at older network standard speeds;
  • 3G Multimedia: 3G-capable phones that may include a simple keyboard, and are designed for simpler text messaging and occasional data access;
  • 3G Smartphones: Blackberry, Android, Windows-capable, and eventually the iPhone all qualify for this classification.

Verizon Wireless formerly offered a paltry 25MB package for $9.99 with a 50 cents per megabyte overlimit fee and a stingy 75MB package for $19.99 per month with a 30 cents per megabyte overlimit fee.  These might be suitable for someone trying to navigate a mobile web browser on an older generation phone from a numeric keyboard, but were priced unattractively for those with more advanced phones.

The 75MB package appears to be history after January 18th, but the 25MB package will remain with a reduced overlimit fee of 20 cents per megabyte (that’s an incredible $200 per gigabyte) .  Customers who don’t want -any- data plan for their basic wireless phone will be forced onto Verizon’s “pay as you go” plan, which charges $1.99 per megabyte.  It’s this plan that subjects customers to those $1.99 mysterious “data charges” on their bill, caused when a customer invokes the phone’s web browser (intentionally or otherwise, if you believe customers.)

Customers who don’t own smartphones and don’t use their phones to access many data services will find themselves being corralled into one of Verizon’s new data plans, whether they like it or not, once they try and renew their contract or make “certain account changes” under their existing contract.  If you’re a smartphone user, your choice will be the $29.99 unlimited data plan or the $29.99 unlimited data plan.  In other words, smartphone customers don’t get a choice.  Only owners of more basic phones will be able to choose from overpriced “pay as you go” service, a paltry 25MB offering, or what the company will upsell as the “best value” — the $29.99 unlimited plan.

“Even some basic phones such as the LG VX8360 will require data plans starting the 18th,” says Broadband Reports‘ tipster. Some examples of 3G Multimedia phones: LG Chocolate Touch, LG enV3, LG enV Touch, LG VX8360, Motorola Entice, Motorola Rival, Samsung Rogue, Samsung Alias2 and Nokia Twist.

The launch of an unlimited data plan on Verizon Wireless’ 3G network will make Apple happy.  The iPhone manufacturer has reportedly advocated generous data plans for iPhone customers who find themselves required to purchase plans for both voice calling and data with AT&T.  If the iPhone’s arrival on Verizon Wireless’ network is imminent this summer, having an unlimited data plan available to customers would make sense.

Although the fine print isn’t available to us, Karl Bode at Broadband Reports notes the documents he’s seen indicate no hidden usage cap, like AT&T’s formerly advertised “unlimited” plans that were limited to 5GB in the fine print.

Broadband Reports ran an exclusive story this morning breaking the news about Verizon's new data plans.

Still, for customers pushed into purchasing a data plan they may not want, it’s another case of Internet Overcharging.  That’s particularly true with Verizon, which claims to be a proponent of “paying for what you use,” yet still doesn’t offer all of their customers that option.  Instead, customers who don’t want to pony up $29.99 a month (or don’t have to because they don’t own a smartphone) are stuck paying for overpriced “pay as you go” plans or a paltry 25MB plan priced not to sell.  Even their “unlimited” plan may not last for long.  As Verizon Wireless works towards their 4G network launch, unlimited pricing may never be a part of it.

The Verizon Wireless documents explain what’s really happening here when it instructs employees pushing data plans to up-sell customers: “think of how dissatisfied they would be if they received their bill with excessive Pay As You Go charges!”  That is a powerful tool to motivate customers to choose a more expensive plan they may not need or want, just to protect themselves from the nasty surprise of an enormous bill at the end of the month.

With the evolving wireless phone marketplace now opening up new options for consumers to bypass the wireless company’s own products and services, overcharging consumers for accessing competitors’ products on their network guarantees a nice payday for Verizon Wireless no matter how you use your phone.

It’s why year after year, despite an increasing number of minutes thrown into your plan’s bucket, your cell phone bill never seems to actually decrease.  After all of the additional add-ons, surcharges, and fees attached to the bill, it has become easier than ever to approach $100 a month for cell phone service in the United States.

Dressing Up The Pig: Hawaiian Telcom’s Journey from Verizon to Bankruptcy is a Familiar Tale

Phillip Dampier January 12, 2010 Competition, Hawaiian Telcom, Public Policy & Gov't, Video Comments Off on Dressing Up The Pig: Hawaiian Telcom’s Journey from Verizon to Bankruptcy is a Familiar Tale

Hawaii’s landline telephone company, Hawaiian Telcom (HawTel), is awaiting approval from the state’s Public Utility Commission for its $460 million, stand-alone reorganization plan. The company, launched in 2005 from assets acquired from Verizon Hawaii, Inc., by the politically connected global private equity investment firm The Carlyle Group, lasted less than four years before declaring bankruptcy.

[flv]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/KITV Honolulu Hawaiian Telcom Takes Over Verizon 5-3-05.flv[/flv]

KITV-TV in Honolulu introduced Hawaii to Hawaiian Telcom in this report from May 3, 2005 (1 minute)

The downfall of Hawaii’s dominant landline provider, despite decades of stable service from its progenitors — GTE/Hawaiian Telephone Company and Mutual Telephone came as no surprise to telecommunications analysts and consumer advocates who saw trouble right from the start.  The Carlyle Group and Verizon structured a deal that loaded $1.2 billion in debt onto Hawaiian Telcom’s balance sheet.  Critics of the deal weren’t impressed by the fact Carlyle had no experience running a telephone company either, and was likely to dump the company after “dressing up the pig” to inflate the company’s value and walk away with big profits from the sale, as one analyst predicted.

Long time Stop the Cap! readers know how this works only too well.  Anyone who followed the exhaustive coverage of the downfall of FairPoint Communications this past year will see plenty of familiar warning signs — piling enormous debt on the buyer, lots of promises made and broken, and plenty of billing and customer service problems that cause customers to flee to other providers.  By 2008, 21 percent of the company’s 700,000 customers did just that.  Remarkably, the only people who suffered from the failing business plan Hawaiian Telcom subjected on the islands were customers, lower-level employees, and company vendors.  The top management that made all of the bad decisions were insulated from the impact with fat bonuses, even as other employees were terminated.

[flv]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/KITV Honolulu 9,000 Hawaiian Telcom Customers Overbilled 6-9-06.flv[/flv]

Here come the all-too-familiar billing problems.  KITV reported 9,000 HawTel customers were overbilled in this report from June 9, 2006 (2 minutes)

[flv]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/KITV Honolulu Hawaiian Telcom Problems Continue 3-21-07.flv[/flv]

A year later, still more billing problems from HawTel, this time impacting more than 10,000 customers who can never sure what their monthly bill will look like.  (March 21, 2007 – 2 minutes)

It’s all a word to the wise as Frontier Communications journeys down the same road FairPoint and Hawaiian Telcom have already paved.

On the business side, Hawaiian Telcom’s future foreshadowed its post-mortem if only based on the players who far too often have been rewarded for failure:

The Carlyle Group: Attacked by incumbent competitors in Hawaii when it sought to purchase Verizon’s assets in the state.  Both Time Warner Telecom and Pacific LightNet warned Carlyle had little, if any experience running a telecommunications business, was going to mine the company for profits for its investors from rate increases, slash costs by reducing investment in their network and firing employees, and then try and resell the business at a profit just a few years later.

BearingPoint: Hired by Hawaiian Telcom to manage billing post-Verizon, the troubled firm managed to botch thousands of customer bills, double-charging them, crediting their accounts only to rebill them months later, and other irregularities.  In the end, BearingPoint had to pay $52 million to Hawaiian Telcom and drop an additional $30 million in outstanding invoices.  Like birds of a feather, BearingPoint itself collapsed in bankruptcy in 2009.

Ruley

Michael Ruley: Hawaiian Telcom’s CEO from October 2004 through February 2008, Ruley oversaw HawTel operations during the post-transition customer service nightmares.  During his last quarter at the company, HawTel lost $29.5 million, and his prescription was a massive cost-cutting program that accelerated company layoffs that began in 2007, resulting in the dismissal of more than 100 employees, 50 of which were cut during his last full month at the company.

Stephen F. Cooper: A so-called “turnaround expert,” Cooper was hired as a ” permanent interim” CEO on February 4, 2008.  His previous “success stories” included succeeding Kenneth Lay at the infamous Enron, and a stint as CEO of Krispy Kreme, which then promptly collapsed as a success story, with store closings and bankruptcies among its franchisees.  His “permanent interim” position as CEO of HawTel ended after three months. “In my view, Hawaiian Telcom is financially stable and has ample liquidity available,” Cooper said less than a year before the company went bankrupt.

[flv width=”480″ height=”380″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/KITV Honolulu Hawaiian Telcom Filing for Bankruptcy 12-01-08.flv[/flv]

KITV has three reports telling viewers HawTel has filed for bankruptcy, the first time in Hawaii’s history a major utility has sought bankruptcy protection.  (12/1 – 12/3 – 2008 – 7 minutes)

Bankruptcy As a Business Tool

The sale of Verizon Hawaii’s assets to Carlyle and its creature HawTel likely doomed the company from the start.  Saddled with massive debt from the $1.6 billion dollar sale in May 2005, HawTel had to manage its 700,000 customers, protect its flank from increasing wireless competition from Verizon Wireless and T-Mobile, and constant customer poaching by Oceanic Cable.  The cable operator offered “digital phone” service at prices lower than HawTel charged and broadband service far faster than the “up to 7Mbps” DSL service the phone company provided.

As customers continues to leave, the company’s bond values lost 65 percent of their value by the start of 2008.

The Wall Street Journal itself began to notice (subscription required) these telecommunications deals had enormous implications for consumers, particularly for those who depend on landline service:

Because major phone companies are reducing their exposure to the shrinking landline phone business, phone services in a growing number of U.S. states are being taken over by private-equity firms like Carlyle or by tiny telecom companies.

Verizon, for instance, has agreed to spin off its landline business in Maine, Vermont and New Hampshire to a small phone company, FairPoint Communications Inc. Alltel Corp., which services the Midwest, was recently taken private by private-equity firms TPG Capital and Goldman Sachs Capital Partners.

Many of these deals are raising concern among local regulators and consumer advocates, who are worried about the telecom savvy of the new buyers. “Why would a company one-10th the size and not nearly as deep of pockets as Verizon be able to make a success where Verizon hasn’t,” asks Rand Wilson, a spokesman for Verizon’s unionized workers, speaking of the Verizon-FairPoint deal, which is expected to close next week. A FairPoint spokeswoman says the company has plenty of experience taking over landlines in less dense regions of the U.S. and plans to offer new technologies and services to New England customers.

Yeaman

By December 2008, it was time to get HawTel’s lawyers in Delaware to walk into Bankruptcy Court.  At the time of the filing, the company said it had about $1 billion in debt, which includes $574.6 million in bank loans as well as about $500 million in bonds.

The company sought bankruptcy to reduce the debt load, and in a remarkable concession, HawTel president and CEO Eric Yeaman spoke prophetic words not heard when the original deal was on the table:

Our lenders all recognize that this business can’t support its debt load,” Yeaman said. “But they’re still figuring out what the magic number is. Whatever it is, it will affect different parties, especially investors who won’t get their initial investment back. That’s why it’s important that we increase in value going forward.”

In the nine months ending in September 2008, Hawaiian Telcom paid $68.2 million in interest to lenders, on top of a $35.7 million operating loss. The company has lost $425 million since it began operations in 2005.

[flv]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/KHON Honolulu Hawaiian Telcom Bankruptcy Hearing Begins 11-9-09.flv[/flv]

KHON-TV Honolulu covers the bankruptcy proceedings in this report from November 9, 2009. (1 minute)

BonusGate

Adding insult to injury, Hawaiian Telcom may have been bankrupt, but senior management were assured of being kept whole.  KITV-TV in Honolulu reported that three days before the company filed for bankruptcy, Hawaiian Telcom’s board of directors approved a financial incentive plan for 20 of its top executives for up to $2.3 million in retention bonuses and other benefits.  The executives were eligible for amounts ranging from $57,000 to $2.3 million, if the company met certain earning and revenue targets.

Regular employees were eligible to use a secluded back door to exit the company after being notified they were being laid off to “reduce costs.”

Just three months after declaring bankruptcy, HawTel officials were back asking for approval for even bigger bonuses.

Gov. Linda Lingle was outraged to learn HawTel was planning on paying bonuses to employees despite being mired in bankruptcy.

In a filing with the U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Hawaiian Telcom said it was seeking authorization to pay 1,418 employees a total of $6 million, a reduction of 24 percent from their original proposal to pay $7.9 million. Understanding how bad it would look for a president and CEO overseeing a company into financial failure, Yeaman gave up his $609,000 bonus and elected not to participate in the special compensation program.  Six of the company’s senior vice presidents were less generous, agreeing only to defer half of their scheduled bonuses.

Hawaii’s governor was outraged.

“The decision by Hawaiian Telcom to ask the bankruptcy court to approve $6 million in bonuses for its employees is unconscionable, and we will oppose it in court,” Gov. Linda Lingle said on March 19th. “Hawaiian Telcom is the critical communications backbone for our state, and its action to pay millions in bonuses puts the company in a precarious position that jeopardizes its long-term viability, as well as threatens Hawaii’s economic recovery.”

Bankruptcy can be a profitable business for more than just bonus recipients.

Fees billed by companies working on the bankruptcy reorganization also angered creditors and the U.S. trustee appointed to oversee the company’s restructuring:

  • Lazard Freres & Co. was being paid $2,527.38 per hour for its work in Hawaiian Telcom Communications Inc.’s bankruptcy case.  The company billed for 237.4 hours of work between April 1 and June 30 totaling an astonishing $600,000, an amount Acting U.S. Trustee Tiffany Carroll said was way out of line.  “Simply put, the amount of time Lazard is devoting to this case is not commensurate with its interim compensation,” she wrote in papers filed with the Honolulu bankruptcy court.
  • The Carlyle Group, despite its losses from piling on debt from the Verizon sale did manage a legislative win when it lobbied for and got passage of a nice deregulation package in the form of SB603, a state bill providing a deregulatory advantage to Hawaiian Telcom, now able to charge higher prices for competitors that connect with HawTel’s network to complete calls to customers.  Better yet, SB603 provides for no oversight or justification for the rates HawTel chooses to charge.  Hawaii’s legislature bowed to the lobbyists to deregulate a company that lost more than $1 billion dollars in bankruptcy.
  • Ernst & Young, LLP, a financial advisor hired by Hawaiian Telcom to advise on tax matters, would receive payment for services without as much scrutiny from the bankruptcy court, owing to HawTel’s lawyers seeking to have E&Y’s fees be subject to review only under the “improvident” standard, which would make it much harder to protest unreasonable fees.

The more money paid out to consultants, lawyers, secured creditors, and other advisors, the less money remains available to pay unsecured creditors — mostly suppliers and smaller companies hired as subcontractors to do the work HawTel farmed out.

What The Future Holds for HawTel & Customers

As the company works its way towards an exit to bankruptcy, it’s betting the company’s survival on Next Generation Television (NGTV), an “IPTV” service that delivers Internet, television, and phone service over a broadband network.  HawTel seeks to construct a faster broadband network using a fiber-optic based backbone network and integrate it with the ordinary phone lines that string through neighborhoods across the islands.  Similar to AT&T’s U-verse system, by reducing the length of copper wiring, HawTel can boost broadband speeds to at least 25Mbps, the bare minimum required to deliver a “triple play” package of phone, Internet, and cable-TV service to Hawaiians.  Relying on less than that can seriously degrade parts of the package if customers try to use them all at once (try making a phone call, download a file, and watch two different channels at the same time on a network with reduced bandwidth.)

HawTel realizes without being able to sell all three services to consumers, they have little hope of surviving in a state where consumers are dropping landline phone service in favor of Oceanic Cable’s own “triple play” service, or relying on one of the cell phone providers serving Hawaii.

Of course, such an undertaking will require millions of dollars of investment, something The Carlyle Group may not exactly be enthusiastic to provide.  Company observers suspect HawTel will instead come hat in hand to Washington looking for broadband stimulus funding so the company need not invest as much of its own money.

Why This Is Important To Millions of Potential New Frontier Communications Customers

Detailing the history of broken promises, bad customer service, billing problems, and the impact of more than a billion dollars of crushing debt, all hallmarks of two previous deals with Verizon — one with HawTel, the other with FairPoint Communications — illustrates just how risky the latest Verizon-Frontier deal could be to customers, suppliers, employees, and other creditors.  HawTel’s debt hampered the company’s potential and kept it from providing the kind of enhanced services it speaks of today.  What was once $1.1 billion in debt has been dramatically reduced by a Bankruptcy Court judge to just $300 million.  The better-looking balance sheet frees the company to invest in the services it will be required to provide to protect it from future obsolescence.

Why state utility commissions are willing to risk rolling the dice on another risky deal, and one that is largely tax-free thanks to loopholes in the law, is a question that must be asked.  Consumers, small businesses, and individual employees pay the price for the wrong decisions others make, all while those handful of executives who run the show have built-in insulation from the impact, earning bonuses and benefits that come regardless of their performance or lack thereof.

Verizon Wireless’ LTE Next Generation Wireless Broadband: ‘Long Term Expensive’ Usage-Based Billing On The Way

Phillip Dampier

Verizon Wireless’s next generation LTE wireless broadband network threatens to bring expensive “usage-based billing” to millions of Americans using technology products that depend on wireless networking to communicate  — from the handheld tablet you use to enjoy USA Today over morning coffee, the car that delivers news, weather and traffic reports to and from work, to the portable television you use to catch up with the game while running around town.

At the Consumer Electronics Show, Verizon chief technology officer Dick Lynch warned that Verizon is likely to abandon any notion of flat rate usage pricing, particularly when Verizon doesn’t get a piece of the action from the sale of the devices that connect to their network.

Instead, Verizon Wireless will adopt a wireless version of Internet Overcharging — usage-based billing that isn’t entirely “usage-based.”

A true consumption billing system charges consumers only for what they use — don’t use the service that month and customers would pay little or nothing for service that billing period.  Instead, providers maximize revenue with arbitrary “usage allowances” which are part of the steep monthly service fee.  The unused portion of the allowance typically does not roll over, in effect lost at the end of the month.  That means you pay for not using their network.  Imagine if your electric company charged you for leaving the lights on 24/7, but you were out of town that month.  If you exceed your allowance, the overlimit penalty kicks in, and most providers set those prices high enough to sting you while rewarding them.

“The problem we have today with flat-based usage is that you are trying to encourage customers to be efficient in use and applications but you are getting some people who are bandwidth hogs using gigabytes a month and they are paying something like megabytes a month,” Lynch said. “That isn’t long-term sustainable. Why should customers using an average amount of bandwidth be subsidizing bandwidth hogs?”

Lynch

The first step to broadband pricing enlightenment is to recognize the only true “hog” here is the broadband provider with an endless appetite for your money.  Usage-based pricing schemes carry the one-two punch for consumers, with no pain for providers:

  1. They discourage usage, as consumers fear using up their monthly allowance and getting socked with an enormous bill filled with penalties and overlimit fees;
  2. The corresponding reduction in usage lowers the providers’ capital spending requirements to meet consumer demand, and increase profits dramatically from those who find allowances too limiting and are willing to pay the exorbitant pricing providers charge those who exceed them.

Does Verizon actually believe that $60 a month for their wireless broadband service represents a fair price for someone using “something like megabytes a month?”  Can Verizon show it is losing money on its wireless broadband service?  I think not.

Predictably, Lynch provides a “between-the-lines” slap at government intervention to force open wireless networks to additional competition in the equipment marketplace:

“The whole paradigm of how we sell devices into the public is changing,” Lynch said. “At the same time that we announced LTE, we announced an open development initiative where we encouraged third-party developers to deploy devices on our network.”

That initiative was hardly the result of a sudden change of heart from Verizon.  It came from pressure Washington applied over the “closed network” practices the American wireless industry has followed for years.  Handsets and the applications that run on them have traditionally been closely controlled by providers.  Features built into smartphones and other handsets were disabled or limited by providers before the phones were sold to the public.  Usually, this forced customers to use the services either provided directly by their wireless company, or one of their “affiliated partners.”

Verizon Wireless is signaling the consequence of a more competitive, open market for wireless products and services: usage limits and a higher bill. That’s because you didn’t buy that device at a Verizon store at their asking price, and you’ve been using it too much.

Consumers would make a grave mistake in blaming a more activist watchdog role by the federal government to force open the wireless industry to competition and innovation by third parties.  Despite Verizon’s hints that those pesky regulators in Washington are to blame for your usage being limited and your bill being higher, the blame really belongs with the carriers pocketing those proceeds.

Since regulators will get the blame regardless, isn’t it time to go all out for American consumers by transforming the wireless provider marketplace?  Here are our suggestions:

  1. An end to the ongoing consolidation of existing wireless players into a shrinking number of what will soon be two or three “too big to fail” national providers;
  2. Insistence on additional competition coming from new, independent players, not simply those directly affiliated with the dominant four carriers (Verizon, AT&T, Sprint, and T-Mobile);
  3. Justification for confiscatory data pricing made possible from the highly concentrated wireless marketplace, particularly in smaller cities and communities.

Verizon and AT&T have both engaged in a lot of scare talk about usage and their costs to manage it.  We’d believe them, except we read their financial reports and neither company is hurting.  We’d even be willing to meet them halfway and advocate additional allocations of spectrum to provide the bandwidth an increasingly wireless world will demand, but not at their asking price with those pesky terms and conditions that ration service to consumers at top dollar prices.

Time Warner Cable: Powered By Prices Increases – $18 Billion in Revenue for 2009, $19 Billion for 2010

Phillip Dampier January 11, 2010 Competition, Data Caps 2 Comments

The considerable annoyance among subscribers facing rate increases from Time Warner Cable notwithstanding, the Wall Street press is celebrating the company’s increased earnings power for 2010, with the stock now being rated as a “compelling bet” by Barron’s.

Despite producing “copious amounts of cash,” Time Warner Cable stock is rated underpriced, and set to move higher in the new year as the company improves its earnings with price increases for its 14.6 million subscribers nationwide.

Price increases could help to power a sharp recovery in Time Warner Cable’s earnings, which probably slumped 15% in 2009, to $1.1 billion, or $3.03 a share. This year, net income could rise 21%, to $1.3 billion, or $3.60 a share, due to higher revenue and improving operating margins. The company earned $1.2 billion, or $3.57 a share, in 2008, on revenue of $17 billion.

Subscriber growth has slowed at Time Warner and other cable concerns, mainly because of the housing recession. The company lost 84,000 basic-video subscribers in last year’s third quarter, reducing the total to just under 13 million, and analysts see basic subs dropping 2.5% this year, to around 12.5 million. Still, revenue rose 3.6% in the third quarter, to $4.5 billion, putting Time Warner Cable on track to generate $18 billion of revenue for the full year, and $19 billion in 2010. Analysts expect some recovery in advertising revenue, and additional growth from the further penetration of bundled residential high-speed data and digital phone products.

Barron’s points out Time Warner Cable’s capital spending has continued to decline dramatically, falling 13 percent in the third quarter.  The company had free cash flow of $465 million in the period.

Despite the company’s falling broadband costs, falling capital spending, and increasing prices, some Time Warner Cable executives still approve of taking earnings to an even higher level with Internet Overcharging schemes that would change the “pricing model” for broadband service.  Despite company claims such changes would save customers’ money, relentless price increases in many communities — even higher for those on Road Runner’s economy tiers, prove otherwise.

What is Time Warner Cable doing with all of the money?  Paying down some debt and returning cash to shareholders, perhaps via an ordinary dividend or share buyback, according to Barron’s.

What allows for a company to increase pricing on broadband service and subject customers to a potential Internet Overcharging scheme down the road?

“At a time when demand for broadband is going through the roof, Time Warner is the only game in town in a lot of its footprint,” says Craig Moffett, an analyst at Bernstein Research.

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