Time Warner Cable’s Latest Rate Hikes Infuriate Upstate New York; One City Retaliates

Phillip Dampier November 22, 2011 Consumer News, Public Policy & Gov't 4 Comments

Time Warner Cable’s latest series of rate increases and perceived snubs has rubbed some New York residents the wrong way, and one upstate city has retaliated by extending the cable operator’s franchise by just one year.

Cable customers from Lowville to Massena, adjacent to the Canadian border, have been venting about the cable company’s decision to increase cable rates for the second time this year across the region.  The anger is nearly universal, whether one is a conservative tea party member in Norwood or a liberal Democrat in Watertown.

But the strongest message heard by Time Warner officials was delivered by Massena Deputy Supervisor Albert N. Nicola, who helped shoot down the cable company’s request for a 15-year franchise renewal, and approved a one year renewal in its place.  The vote was 5-0.

“They’re asking for a 15-year extension, which is absolutely totally outrageous,” Mr. Nicola told the Watertown Daily Times. “We’ve got to be crazy for even thinking about that.”

That is no Christmas present for Time Warner, whose cable franchise agreement in Massena expires this year on Dec. 25.

Town board members noted the cable company didn’t bother show up for franchise renegotiation discussions and were reportedly not in attendance for this week’s vote.

“It’s tough to ask questions of a group that isn’t here,” Nicola said.

Massena wants some changes in the local cable lineup, more responsiveness to local residents, and more involvement in the community by the cable company.

Residents want lower rates.

Wayne D. Mihalyi of Lowville called Time Warner the poster child of corporate greed.  Tim Donahue of Lowville wondered how much more he and his neighbors would take from the cable operator:

How long are we going to continue having Time Warner Cable increase their rates without hesitation? Isn’t anybody out there looking out for us?

We just had all our rates increase 7.5 percent in January 2011. They cried poverty and increases in dealing with the networks. Yet another small increase occurred (because of taxes) somewhere between June’s bill and October’s.

And now we just received yet another 8 percent increase within the same year? They must have seen how Netflix did it and said, “What the heck, if they can do it so can we.”

This time we’re supposed to believe it is because of their significantly increased cost of programming. Don’t forget, we also got socked a whopping 16.5 percent increase in January of 2010. When is this nonsense going to end? I am beginning to understand the reason for some of the protesting going on. This is outright greed. There is no other explanation or words for it. They have to know that seniors haven’t even had a 1 percent raise in three years.

AT&T Ignores 80-Year Old 7+ Weeks After August Storm Leaves Cables Strewn in Her Yard

Phillip Dampier November 22, 2011 AT&T, Consumer News, Video Comments Off on AT&T Ignores 80-Year Old 7+ Weeks After August Storm Leaves Cables Strewn in Her Yard

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/WEWS Cleveland ATT service issues 11-11-11.mp4[/flv]

A late August thunderstorm brought down AT&T’s phone lines in the backyard of 80-year-old Isabelle Hendricks of Cleveland, Ohio.  More than two months later, the cables were still strewn across Hendricks’ yard, her phone line was only sporadically in service, and AT&T was still ignoring calls pleading the company to do something about it.

Nephew Anthony Mauldin took his AT&T Horror Story to YouTube, and the phone company still refused to get the lines off the ground.

“It’s been very frustrating, because we’ve been trying to get somebody out here since the first of September,” Mauldin told WEWS News. “They gave us a date, but they didn’t show.”

Mauldin says his aunt has been hospitalized over the past week, and lives alone.  He’s concerned AT&T’s landline is so intermittent, she may not be able to contact anyone in the event of an emergency.

AT&T claims it could not complete the repairs because when the lines fell, tree debris came with it — too much debris for AT&T crews to be comfortable working around.

More than two months later, Mauldin called WEWS-TV in hopes a little media exposure might do the trick.  It did.  Within two hours of the newsroom calling AT&T, crews were in Ms. Hendrick’s backyard cleaning up the mess, along with their telephone cables.  (2 minutes)

 

Internet Overcharging Gravy Train: Average Home Wi-Fi Use to Exceed 440GB By 2015

Providers establishing Internet Overcharging schemes like usage caps, so-called “consumption billing,” and speed throttles that force subscribers into expensive upgrades are planning for a growth industry in data consumption.

According to new research from a firm that specializes in market strategies, data usage is going up and fast.  Providers that seek to monetize that usage could win enormous new profits just sitting back and waiting for customers to exceed the arbitrary usage caps some companies are now enforcing with their customers and take the proceeds to the bank.

iGR says the demand for connectivity inside the home is at an all-time high, with the biggest growth coming from wireless Wi-Fi connections.  The more devices consumers associate with their home broadband connection, the greater the usage.

That is one of the reasons why providers are increasingly supplying customers with free or inexpensive Wi-Fi routers, to make the connections quick, simple, and potentially profitable down the road.

Comcast's Wireless Gateway: A Future Money Machine?

Comcast announced this week it would supply a free 802.11N “home gateway” free of charge to every new customer signing up for Blast!, Extreme 50 or Extreme 105 broadband service.  In addition to wireless connectivity for every device in the home, the Xfinity Wireless Gateway also includes a built-in cable modem and phone service adapter.  Time Warner Cable strongly encourages new DOCSIS 3 customers use their equipment for Wi-Fi service as well.  AT&T has included its own wireless gateway with U-verse for a few years now.

The offer is hard to refuse.  Nearly 80 percent of homes use wireless access, connecting cell phones, tablets, laptops, personal computers, game consoles, and even set top boxes that let customers stream video entertainment to their television sets.

iGR found average usage in heavily-connected homes at the all time high of 390GB per month.  By 2015, that will rise to more than 440GB per month.  Both numbers are well in excess of average consumption limits by providers like Comcast and AT&T, which top out at just 250GB per month.  Of course, not all Wi-Fi usage is based on traffic from the Internet.  Some users stream content between computers or devices within the home.  But the research is clear — usage is growing, dramatically.

Video is by far the biggest factor, according to iGR.  Their report, U.S. Home Broadband & WiFi Usage Forecast, 2011-2015, says the appetite for downloaded and streamed video is only growing.

Matt Vartabedian, vice president of the wireless and mobile research service at iGR, says home Wi-Fi has become inextricably woven into the personal, social and business fabric of today’s life.

Broadband is increasingly seen by consumers as an essential utility, as important as the home wired telephone, safe drinking water, and reliable electric and natural gas service.

Providers are positioning themselves to take advantage of the growth market in data by establishing what, at first glance, may seem to be generous (often inflexible) usage limits that remain unchanged years after introduction.  While only a handful of consumers may cross those provider-imposed thresholds at first, within a few years, it will be more uncommon to remain within plan limits, especially if you watch online video.

Netflix in Financial Trouble? Company’s Cash-Raising Spells Potential Problems

Phillip Dampier November 22, 2011 Consumer News, Online Video, Video 2 Comments

Netflix is selling $400 million in stock and convertible notes to bolster its cash-on-hand as the company faces the imminent loss of important video content for its streaming movie service.  Netflix stock has paid the price in what some investors are calling the worst deal ever. Michael Pachter, an analyst with Wedbush Securities, suspects banks might be turning Netflix down for traditional, less expensive bank loans, leaving the expensive stock sale its only alternative.

Netflix continues to lose subscribers upset over recent price increases and impending content reductions on the company’s streaming service.  Much of Netflix’s more-recent streaming movie library comes from its expiring deal with Starz, and that content will disappear in February.

Banks may be worried the forthcoming downsizing of Netflix’s online selection combined with increasingly expensive streaming renewal deals for the programming that remains may make the company too risky, even if they use the money to acquire additional content. The company might be one rate increase away from a subscriber exodus.

Netflix CEO Reed Hastings isn’t inspiring confidence among investors either.  He’s been selling nearly 5,000 shares of Netflix stock every week since the beginning of the year, according to filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  If Hastings ultimately dumps 260,000 shares in the company he founded, investors wonder, why should they buy?

The Wall Street Journal financial MarketBeat blog wonders just how many more blunders are in store for the former high-flying company:

So Netflix is raising a bunch of cash by selling stock when it’s super cheap, after spending a lot of money earlier this year buying back stock when it was super expensive.

This comes after it raised its prices high enough to irritate half its customers, then tried to chase off the other half by shunting them off to a splinter company named after a pot-smoking Elmo. Then it said, never mind, just kidding, please don’t leave us. We can’t wait to not read the business-school papers written about this one!

For some mysterious reason, investors are once again fleeing in disgust from Netflix’s stock, which is down more than 4% this morning at $71. And analysts are not too pleased, either — although, these being analysts, there are of course some who say everything’s just fine, the stock’s a great bargain.

Pachter believes either the company’s chief financial officer is “a moron,” or the company is in growing trouble, unable to convince traditional lending sources with cheap money to share some with Netflix.  The company still expects a financial loss in the coming quarter, although it says subscriber flight is now diminishing.  Netflix is also trying to find new content to keep subscribers satisfied, although much of it consists of repeats of low budget cable documentary and reality shows. Considering these challenges, affordable liquidations could provide financial relief and a strategic approach to managing their resources effectively.

Completely overshadowed by the stock sale are two just-announced Netflix acquisitions: a recommissioned Arrested Development, a quirky comedy which ran on Fox from 2003-2006, and the BBC’s ruthless 1990 political intrigue mini-series House of Cards.

[flv width=”360″ height=”290″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/Bloomberg Pachter Says Netflix Plan to Raise Cash Terrible Deal 11-21-11.mp4[/flv]

Michael Pachter, an analyst with Wedbush Securities, talks about Netflix’s agreement to sell $400 million in stock and convertible notes to bolster cash as it increases spending for online rights to films and TV shows. (Bloomberg News)  (8 minutes)

AT&T/T-Mobile Merger Prospects Dim; Alternative Buyers for T-Mobile May Eventually Emerge

Phillip Dampier November 22, 2011 Astroturf, AT&T, Broadband Speed, Competition, Editorial & Site News, Public Policy & Gov't, Rural Broadband, T-Mobile, Video, Wireless Broadband Comments Off on AT&T/T-Mobile Merger Prospects Dim; Alternative Buyers for T-Mobile May Eventually Emerge

AT&T pays a lot of money — millions annually — to make sure its business agenda does not run into political or legislative roadblocks in Washington, D.C.  With dozens of members of Congress effectively on AT&T’s campaign contribution payroll and the company’s unparalleled skill at convincing non-profit organizations to advocate for its interests, worrying about the government’s antitrust views on its proposed buyout of Deutsche Telekom’s T-Mobile was the least of its troubles.

“It’s a done deal,” several analysts predicted shortly after the deal was announced, especially after AT&T demonstrated its confidence level in the merger was as high as the enormous $6 billion dollar breakup concession payable to Telekom if it ever fell apart.

Then the government dared to put its two cents in, in the form of a “are you kidding me?”-lawsuit courtesy of the U.S. Department of Justice.  It seems, in the words of some Beltway cynics, the Obama Administration can manage to see a clear cut case of anti-competitive behavior when given enough time.

Since the lawsuit was announced on Aug. 31, it has been “all-hands-on-deck” for the company’s government relations division, packed full of the company’s top lobbyists.  While company lawyers desperately attempt to block what it sees as “pile on” objections and lawsuits from worried competitors, Sprint-Nextel in particular, AT&T lobbyists are trying to compromise away the Justice Department case with proposals of concessions and giveaways to make approval more palatable.

Further north, as fall turns into winter in New York’s financial district, Wall Street analysts are cold on the troubled deal themselves.

The Financial Times reports most analysts think there is now less than a 50-50 chance the merger will be completed unless the two companies agree to disgorge themselves of market share, territories, and increasing “shareholder value” that will come from eventual rate increases a wireless duopoly would inevitably bring.

Some are even less sanguine, predicting AT&T has only a 20 percent shot, and only if it sells off considerable chunks of valuable spectrum to competitors other than Verizon Wireless.

AT&T is retuning its “message” for the times, downplaying the original, ludicrous notion that urban-focused T-Mobile would be the keystone of a new era in 4G wireless service for rural America.  There is a reason T-Mobile isn’t the first choice for small town America’s cell phone buyers.

Instead, AT&T is now positioning the merger deal as a lifeboat for its troubled competitor.  AT&T suggests the number four carrier is in immediate peril — hemorrhaging customers, caught without a coherent 4G strategy, and an exodus of interest by its increasingly neglectful parent — Deutsche Telekom.

Could Time Warner Cable be an eventual part-owner of T-Mobile USA?

“Over the past two years, T-Mobile USA has been losing customers despite explosive demand for mobile broadband,” AT&T said in a statement this week. “T-Mobile USA has no clear path to 4G LTE, the industry’s next generation network, and its German parent, Deutsche Telekom, has said it would not continue to make significant investments in the United States.”

With AT&T predicting the demise of its smaller would-be cousin, consumers may not be in the mood to sign a two-year contract with a company that could soon be rechristened AT&T, especially those leaving AT&T for T-Mobile.

But don’t tell T-Mobile’s marketing department it’s a phone company on life support.  T-Mobile has beefed up its advertising and continues to irritate its larger competitors, particularly AT&T, with very aggressive pricing on its prepaid plans.

T-Mobile recently unveiled two disruptive $30 4G prepaid plans that offer either 1500 shared minutes/text messages and 30MB of data usage -or- 100 voice minutes combined with unlimited texting and up to 5GB of mobile data before the speed throttle kicks in.  Those prices are too low for AT&T and Verizon to ignore, especially when offered on a 4G network.

So far, the Justice Department shows no signs of backing down from their resolute opposition to the deal, minor concessions or not.  Shareholders may not appreciate giving the government too much of what it wants in order to win approval.  Washington lawmakers are split — virtually every Republican favors the merger, Democrats are less absolute, with most opposed.  Among those in favor, by how much is often a measure of what kind of campaign money AT&T has thrown their way.

AT&T absolutely denies they have a “Plan B” in case the merger eventually fails.  But the Times doubts that, reporting as time drags on, an alternative deal might emerge.  Some of the possibilities:

  • T-Mobile USA could merge its spectrum with Dish Network, the satellite TV company, to launch a new 4G mobile operator in the USA;
  • Combine forces (and spectrum) in a deal with leading U.S. cable companies like Cox, Comcast, and Time Warner Cable to launch a new cable-branded mobile operator;
  • Sell or merge operations with MetroPCS, Leap Wireless’ Cricket, or one of several regional cell companies.

Perennial cable booster Craig Moffett from Sanford Bernstein predictably favors the cable solution, which would let companies offer a quad or quint-play of cable TV, wireless mobile broadband, wired broadband, phone, and cell phone service all on one bill.  It would also get the FCC off the backs of cable operators Time Warner and Comcast, who both control a total of 20MHz of favored wireless spectrum they have left unused since acquiring it at auction.  The Commission is increasingly irritated at companies who own unused spectrum at a time when the agency is trying to find additional frequencies for wireless providers.

[flv width=”640″ height=”380″]http://www.phillipdampier.com/video/Bloomberg ATTs 96000 Job Claim in T-Mobile Deal Questioned 11-8-11.flv[/flv]

Bloomberg News questions AT&T’s claim its merger deal with T-Mobile will create 96,000 new jobs. [Nov. 8] (3 minutes)

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